I'll be updating this blog tonight with election returns and data crunching, but first I have to run my slightly under the weather pup, Fennel, to the vet.
Just barely settled in here....
FL looks good; unless we see a tsunami in the Panhandle for Trump, it's looking good.
PA and NH aren't too shabby either.
NV turnout is about 70....it was 81% in 2012....slightly smaller turnout doesn't necessarily hurt HRC...indeed, it makes those early votes that were banked very useful (field and ground game matter).
And yikes, FL is tight and the panhandle is not reporting. One not so fabulous stat from the exit polls: folks who mark the economy as the number issue favor HRC 50 to 43 but trump kills for voters who mark immigration as the number one issue.
Florida will be a nail biting photo finish. Romney's highest vote margins came in places like Okaloosa, Collier, Clay, Lee and St. John's counties, in the panhandle. These counties have barely reported vote results, while the high performing urban Democratic counties are 80-90 in.
Those urban counties are bigger, but we are looking at a nail biter of 2000 year proportions, I fear.
With the Panhandle coming in FL is now looking like a close to lost cause.
OH, on the other hand, is looking more hopeful. Who would've guessed it. FL latino turnout was huge but african american turnout fell off, which is what is given us the bad vote spread here.